On March 30th, the International Powder Technology and Application Forum and the National Powder Products and Equipment Application Technology Exchange Conference officially kicked off in Beijing. In the same period, the International Powder Technology and Equipment Exhibition and the International Industrial Powder Raw Materials Exhibition were held. The Forum and the Exhibition jointly formed the “2009 Beijing Powder Weekâ€. The Secretary-General of the China Building Materials Federation Powder Technology Branch, Gai Guosheng, made a report on how powder technology can seize opportunities and revitalize the industry during the economic downturn. The following is a summary of the report.
Frustrations and Opportunities——Powder Technology in Economic Depression and Industrial Revitalization
content
I. Investigation and understanding
Second, the opportunities brought about by national macro policies
Third, independent innovation to enhance product technology content and competitiveness
4. New rural construction and agricultural resource development
I. Investigation and understanding
Out of responsibility for the industry, I visited Shijiazhuang, Zhengzhou, Wuhan, Changsha, Guangzhou, Dongguan, Shenzhen, Chaozhou, Xiamen, Hangzhou, Huzhou, Suzhou, Shanghai, Wuxi, Yancheng and Zibo from November last year to March this year. , Linyi, Weifang, Yantai, Dalian, Anshan, Shenyang and other places. I have received the care of my friends from all over the world, and I have also listened to many economists' analysis of the situation. I would like to express my gratitude here!
As an informal survey, some of the things I have learned can only be regarded as hearsay. Under the premise of respecting the enterprises that provide the original data, we will inform relevant information and hope to give you some reference.
Not optimistic January-February
According to data published by the National Bureau of Statistics:
· State-owned and state-controlled enterprises realized a profit of 56.7 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 59.2%;
· Collective enterprises realized a profit of 5.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.9%;
· The shareholding enterprise realized a profit of 111.5 billion yuan, a decrease of 39.7%;
· Foreign-invested enterprises, Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwanese investment enterprises realized a profit of 62 billion yuan, a decrease of 39.3%;
· Private enterprises realized a profit of 70.5 billion yuan, an increase of 3.3%.
Of course, there are factors for the holiday of the New Year.
· Oil and gas exploration industry profits fell 86.1% year-on-year
·Chemical industry profits fell by 49.3%
·The building materials industry fell by 3.6%
· Electronic communication equipment manufacturing industry fell 96.3%
·Special equipment manufacturing industry fell 13.4%
·Transport equipment manufacturing industry fell 40.4%
·The power industry fell 77.0%
·The steel industry turned from a profit of 25.5 billion yuan in the same period last year to a net loss of 770 million yuan
· Non-ferrous metal industry converted from a profit of 12.8 billion yuan to a net loss of 1.93 billion yuan
·The chemical fiber industry turned from a profit of 1.2 billion yuan to a net loss of 130 million yuan
·The profit of coal mining industry increased by 15.0%
· The petroleum processing industry turned from a net loss of 19.4 billion yuan in the same period last year to a profit of 11.7 billion yuan.
Winter is coming sooner or later
· The arrival of the economic downturn is not entirely a trick for financiers to play. In the process of development, a large number of rough processing industries in China will inevitably lead to changes and adjustments. In particular, the powder processing industry, although it is a pillar supporting the traditional industries of the country and the new materials industry, most of them still produce medium and low-end products in low-tech equipment.
· When the country's energy policy, environmental policy, social responsibility and employment system are demandingly demanded, it will inevitably lead to lower profits and lower sales.
· The existing reserves of energy and resources do not allow this rough industry to continue to develop indefinitely.
· Therefore, powder technology, which is an important part of the processing industry, will play an important role in the economic transformation.
Winter is coming, Spring is not far
· The backward industrial structure and technical structure will inevitably increase the dependence of various high-end fields on the international market: China is 37.8%, and Japan is 20%. When the international cold current arrives, how can it be unaffected?
· The transition from extensive to intensive economic growth requires national efforts: technological advancement, business reputation, management awareness, marketing tools, and so on. Intensive growth characteristics: high efficiency, high utilization.
· When the crisis is coming, it is also the time to work hard. Here are the realities and some possible breakthroughs we saw in our investigation.
Impact on sales of powder equipment
Powder equipment – ​​market impacts directly from new investment projects and reduced opportunities for factory expansion. According to our incomplete enterprise interview survey, the sales volume of powder equipment after the Spring Festival this year has decreased by 35.6~62.5% compared with the same period of last year, among which the crushing, grading and packaging equipment have the largest decline. Individual companies have not yet opened yet.
About 30% of the equipment ordered last year was not picked up.
The export contract of a large enterprise equipment decreased by 65% ​​compared with the same period of last year.
Effect on mineral filler powder products
Powder products - The market impact comes directly from the processing industry's reduced demand for various types of powdered industrial mineral raw materials. Take calcium carbonate used in the plastics industry as an example, from 800-1100 yuan / ton in August last year to 500-700 yuan / ton now. Alumina has plummeted from RMB 5,200/ton in the same period last year to around RMB 2,000/ton, and large enterprises are mostly in a semi-discontinued state.
According to the survey, the powder production enterprises that cut production in the Pearl River Delta accounted for 70%, and the average yield reduction was 20%. The production enterprises in the Yangtze River Delta accounted for 50%, and the yield reduction was 10%.
Crisis and opportunity
When the opportunity is not discovered, it is not an opportunity;
When opportunities are discovered by everyone, they are not opportunities.
Opportunities are scarce resources and the opportunity to discover is an opportunity.
Opportunities do not come from meditation or expert analysis.
Opportunities come from a deep understanding of the market and consumers.
Second, the opportunities brought about by national macro policies
The opportunity for the state to stimulate economic initiatives for the powder processing industry 1
The government's support for the real estate industry and various measures to stimulate the economy have maintained the consumption of various architectural coatings and PVC plastic steel doors and windows.
Since the beginning of spring, the demand for coatings and PVC plastic steel has increased, and the prices of various fillers have gradually increased:
Rutile titanium dioxide - 13,000 yuan / ton;
Calcined kaolin - 2,500 yuan / ton or more.
The price of calcium carbonate and talc is also picking up.
Opportunities for the country to stimulate economic initiatives for the powder processing industry 2
The construction of large-scale infrastructure such as high-speed railways, in addition to the pulling of the steel industry, large-scale high-strength concrete products, sound-absorbing and noise-reducing materials, shock-absorbing and shock-absorbing materials, large-scale dry-type transformers, engineering plastics for trains, inorganic ceramic coatings on aluminum alloy surfaces, etc. Demand for equipment and products has increased.
Powder blends, plastics and coating fillers associated with these products require high technical content and levels. This meeting also specially invited Kurimoto, which has participated in the construction of the Shinkansen in Japan, to exchange powder technology issues related to these fields.
Opportunities for the country to stimulate economic initiatives for the powder processing industry 3
Home appliances and cars going to the countryside have stimulated demand for low-end and mid-range home appliances and cars. The production and sales of various engineering plastics, coating fillers, and the application of powder metallurgy products are all related to the above industries.
The ban on melamine, the demand for protein-based beverage additives - water-soluble soy protein has increased rapidly, and the demand for large-scale ultra-fine processing milling and refining equipment has been prominently placed.
Third, independent innovation to enhance product technology content and competitiveness - grasping market demand is the only way to survive the economic winter
New energy materials require powder processing technology
The implementation of the new energy strategy has made the development of lithium-ion power batteries for solar photovoltaic materials, wind power generation, fuel cells and electric bicycles a compelling industry.
This leads to the production and recovery of silicon carbide abrasives for silicon wafer cutting and polishing, hollow glass microspheres for large-scale blade manufacturing, high-purity graphite for fuel cell plates, spherical graphite, and the classification and processing of positive electrode powder materials. The increase in yield, the demand for these new products, and the development of new technologies are also challenges and opportunities for powder technology and industry.
New energy form requirements for powder processing equipment
The tightness of coal resources and the shortage of oil resources have forced us to use our brains in fuel structure.
Traditional coal water slurry technology and oil coke pulp technology can no longer meet people's requirements for the combustion quality of large-scale fuel thermal equipment. The combination of ultra-fine coal slurry pulverization and organic solvent etherification has received more and more attention. This technology can produce a new type of product that can replace ordinary coal-water slurry and has lower cost than coal liquefaction. This development requires powder technology to support large-scale grinding equipment.
Resource recycling and complete sets of powder equipment
Taking abandoned concrete as an example, the emissions in 2006 exceeded 120 million tons, which not only occupied valuable land, but also left endless troubles. From the perspective of the life cycle of concrete, the end of its use state does not represent the loss of useful internal material function.
The waste concrete can be made into recycled aggregate, artificial sand, premixed mortar and block by techniques such as pulverization, separation, sieving, grinding and shaping. This is an important building material in plain areas where sand resources are scarce. No special system equipment has been formed yet, which has huge market potential.
Pigment industry technology upgrade and powder technology
Pigments are important export products in China, accounting for more than 50% of the total output. In January 2009, the import and export volume fell by 36.7%. According to the introduction of the Pigment Industry Association, half of its imported products are refined products of our export products.
Taking Qunqing as an example, the export price is only 12,000 yuan, and the import price has increased to 30,000 yuan, mainly through the dyeing process to achieve value-added; while the high energy consumption and pollution of the raw material synthesis process remain in China;
The requirement for pulverization is that D50 is reduced from 1.5 to less than 1 micron, and D25/D75 is increased from 0.272 to above 0.4; there are also high requirements for particle shape and finish. There is tremendous potential for equipment and processes in these areas.
Microelectronics industry's demand for powder technology
In the processing of microelectronics industrial components, many links are closely related to the processing of ultrafine powder materials. The localization of these products means a huge domestic market.
Submicron fine abrasives such as diamonds are essential for the polishing of precision parts such as hard disks and chips. The production of such fine abrasives below 0.5 micron is almost entirely imported. According to experts from the Institute of Electronic Information, the products related to this can reach an output value of 8.7 billion yuan. In Yucheng County, Henan Province, which accounts for 70% of the world's diamond micronized abrasive market, almost all mixes below 0.5 microns are exported cheaply abroad for purification and precision grading.
Electronic packaging needs for powder technology
Not only micro-electronic components, but also for the packaging of large transformers, high-performance motors and other electrical circuits, not only the spheroidized silicon micropowders that are extremely hot in the powder world, but also the thermal conductivity and flow properties of the powder filling materials. Flame retardant properties, insulation properties, etc. are simultaneously demanding higher and higher requirements.
For example, high-accumulation (contact) thermal conductivity grade silicon nitride ultrafine powder is a key raw material that restricts the thermal conductivity of computer CPU radiators in China. When the ultrafineness is required, the powder has the highest bulk density and the best fluidity.
The above products and potting materials for large transformers almost all rely on imports from abroad, with a market capacity of 5.8 billion yuan per year.
4. New rural construction and agricultural resource development
- Farmers get rich to bring development opportunities to powder technology
Industrial policies and powder technology in agriculture and the west
Compared with developed countries, they have 5% of the agricultural population, while China has 60%. This is an important basis for us to stimulate domestic demand. The clear goal of the central government is to form a joint effort to stimulate domestic demand through the implementation of policies such as “National Tenâ€, western development, and South-to-North Water Transfer, and become an important way to solve the “three rural issuesâ€.
Rural development has greatly promoted the traditional building materials industry, such as cement, building ceramics, chemical building materials, drip irrigation, coatings and plastic products. The related powder raw material market will be activated, and how to make the products meet the needs of the rural market will become the direction of related products and equipment.
Biological resource processing and powder technology
Another goal of agricultural development is the deep commercialization of agricultural by-products. The breakthrough point of the combination of biological resources and powder technology is to use the modern processing methods such as ultra-fine pulverization to bionic the grinding and digesting function, and to effectively release the effective material components in the cells through cell wall-breaking to improve the bioavailability.
The application of this technology requires a large-scale biomass raw material ultra-fine processing system (dry and wet, 500kg / H), a biomass-activated pulverization and drying combination system, coated anti-oxidation technology and equipment, fiber material crushing separation technology and equipment.
Food safety brings opportunities for powder technology
Chemically synthesized feed additives are extremely serious in poultry, which is the main cause of food safety problems of meat, eggs and fish. It needs to be managed from the source and explore new ways for the improvement of national health and national physique.
The technical problems involved in the production of medicinal plant additives instead of chemical synthetic additives by ultrafine pulverization technology are: large-scale superfine pulverizing system that maintains biomass activity, reasonable quality granulation preparation system, and how to reduce processing costs.
The role of technicians during the economic depression
During the economic downturn, our powder technology and related products are facing the test of life and death. Killing a brand means destroying the IQ and execution of a group of talents. I hope that you will not easily discard your past thinking and experience, and accept new things and ideas with an open mind. Less complaints about the market, don't wait passively. Strive to start from the law of powder processing and explore ways to meet new demands - pull the laboratory to the market.
Nowadays, there is not much theoretical research, and it is necessary to make application exploration according to the changing market. Enterprises and research units need more timely communication.
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