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Electricity companies’ concerns about the decline in power generation have temporarily eased. According to statistics released by the National Bureau of Statistics on the 9th, the power generation in July was 435.1 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 2.1%. In June, the power generation was 393.35 billion kWh, which means that the power generation in July increased by 10.6%. Affected by the slowdown in economic growth and the slowdown in demand, coal prices have continued to fall this year, and the increase in installed capacity in June and the zero increase in power generation have caused power generation companies to be concerned that insufficient demand will affect performance. Thermal power profit gradually improved. "The electricity consumption data did not come out. It is difficult to use the power generation data to show that the economy is stabilizing in July." Brokers industry analysts pointed out that July is the peak season for traditional electricity consumption, and the use of air conditioners and fans. Apparently rising, the electricity consumption will generally increase significantly compared with the normal month, but the year-on-year growth rate is currently difficult to judge, and the economic trend is the year-on-year growth rate of electricity consumption. The direct impact of power generation growth is the performance of power companies. In the first half of the year, the cumulative average utilization hours of power generation equipment in the country was 2,234 hours, a decrease of 95 hours from the same period of the previous year. The utilization hours of thermal power facilities dropped significantly. The data showed that the utilization hours of thermal power equipment in the first half of the year was 2,489 hours, a decrease of 113 hours from the same period of the previous year, which was the lowest level in the same period of the year except the year of 2009. Zheng Wusheng, party secretary of China Power Investment Jiangxi Electric Power Co., Ltd. said that although the coal price in the first half of the year has dropped significantly, the marginal revenue space is still small, and due to the economic slowdown, the power demand is insufficient, and the power generation enterprises continue to suffer losses. "In July, coal prices remained low and power generation increased. The operating conditions of thermal power companies have improved or improved." Analysts pointed out that coal prices have fallen sharply since May, but demand for electricity has been sluggish this year. The decline in coal prices will not bring more profit to the power generation enterprises, which also makes the performance improvement of thermal power companies in the first half of the year not as expected. Hydropower continued to benefit from hydropower companies in Central and Southwest China in July or continued earnings. According to the national electricity trade report announced by the SERC in July, the top five provinces in July were Guangdong, Zhejiang, Shanghai, Liaoning and Shandong, while the top five provinces that delivered electricity were Hubei, Sichuan, Yunnan, Guizhou and Mengxi regions. According to the Electricity Regulatory Commission, the water supply from Central China is relatively high, and the power transmission in the areas with rich hydropower resources has increased significantly. The thermal power units in some areas with rich thermal power resources (In Inner Mongolia, Shanxi, etc.) have large reserve capacity and limited thermal power output capacity. Experts from the China Electricity Council pointed out that precipitation in central and southwestern China has been abundant since May, which makes the local hydropower full, but the local capacity for consumption is limited and needs to be transported externally. In addition, hydropower is a clean energy source. Power grid dispatch will give priority to hydropower. State Grid said that this year's key watersheds in Central China and the Three Gorges Reservoir were 90% more abundant than in the same period of last year. The major hydropower plants in Hunan, Chongqing and Jiangxi were all full, and it was difficult to absorb water and electricity in Sichuan. In order to fully absorb hydropower, the relevant provinces in Central China generally arrange grid operation according to the minimum thermal power startup mode, but they still face tremendous pressure. The flooding of water is good for hydropower companies. According to the July power generation data disclosed by Wuyuan Power (002039), the power generation situation continued its good momentum since May, and the improvement was significant year-on-year. Among them, the power generation in July was 1.421 billion kWh, which exceeded the power generation in the second half of 2011 (the power generation in the second half of 2011 was less than 1.3 billion kWh). Since 2012, the cumulative power generation has reached 3.753 billion kWh, which is close to the 2011 full-year level.
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